The 6'7" forward would help fortify New York's defense. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. It is derived from two data points - the final score of each game and where each game was played CoverRats allows you to easily compare the Vegas lines with FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR and ELO projections. FiveThirtyEight's soccer predictions calculate each team's chances of winning each match and the league title across <x> leagues. 0. He leads rookies in FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR. J. Best RAPTOR defensive plus/minus ratings for NBA guards* with at least 15,000 minutes played since 1976-77, including regular season and playoffs. 9m. Tony Chow is a video producer for FiveThirtyEight. 1 defensive RAPTOR rating — good for fourth-best among rookies this season — indicates strong. “The general idea is that the FiveThirtyEight NBA model is based on player ratings, using a system called RAPTOR,” FiveThirtyEight Sports editor Sara Ziegler told Cronkite News. Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight delivers analysis of politics from campaign fundraising to election day and beyond. player_name,player_id,season,poss,mp,raptor_box_offense,raptor_box_defense,raptor_box_total,raptor_onoff_offense,raptor_onoff_defense,raptor_onoff_total,raptor. +1. FiveThirtyEight’s NBA forecast combines an Elo-based model with our CARMELO player projections to calculate each team’s “CARM-Elo” rating and its chances of advancing to the playoffs (and beyond). Players whom FiveThirtyEight/RAPTOR projects 5+ WAR from this season . Mobley clearly has a higher ceiling than Cunningham. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. wiggins the all star. En segundo lugar, y de manera. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. 4. The Best NBA Players This Season, According To RAPTOR Our ratings, updated daily, use play-by-play and player-tracking data to calculate each player’s individual plus-minus measurements and wins. Source When the 2022-23 NBA season begins next week, our RAPTOR prediction model sees a league with a field of title contenders more wide-open. Básicamente, RAPTOR cumple dos objetivos: en primer lugar, es una estadística disponible públicamente que aprovecha los datos modernos de la NBA, específicamente el seguimiento de jugadores y los datos acción por acción que no están disponibles en los puntajes de boxscore tradicionales. By Alex Amado PHOENIX – In mid-February, even though the Phoenix Suns had the best record in the NBA, they only had the third-best chance to win the NBA Finals, according to FiveThirtyEight’s popular analytical model. 0). Gobert, who is a three-time winner of the NBA’s Defensive Player of the Year, is one of the main reasons why the Jazz have dominated in the regular season over the past few years. . For more information, visit FiveThirtyEight. LeBron is playing the point really, really well. 8 points above average on defense, ranking in the 65th percentile. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. If you think I'm missing someone, check to make sure they're actually projected for. 9 : Boston Celtics 12. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. Filed under NBA. md","contentType":"file"},{"name":"historical. 0 Inspired by a recent post which shows Jayson Tatum in the top 5 WAR players (those whose production generate wins for their team when compared to the production of an average NBA player), I decided to look at the worst. It is derived from two data points - the final score of each game and where each game was played CoverRats allows you to easily compare the Vegas lines with FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR and ELO projections. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. According to the 538 RAPTOR WAR, Tari Eason is the most impactful rookie to winning (+0. 0 points per 100 possessions of RAPTOR has had a massive effect on his team’s bottom line; we think he’s already been worth 5. RAPTOR, which stands for Robust Algorithm (using) Player Tracking (and) On/Off Ratings, is FiveThirtyEight’s new NBA statistic. 1 That’s up from 13 percent in the preseason model, and the 36 percentage point. It is derived from two data points - the final score of each game and where each game was played CoverRats allows you to easily compare the Vegas lines with FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR and ELO projections. I suspect their models are badly overfit. All three are also in the league’s top five for per-minute deflections, among all players with at least 500 minutes. He covers the NFL for CBS and the NBA elsewhere. I suspect their models are badly overfit. Every fanbase will make their voices heard if they feel one of their players was snubbed for an award. I used FiveThirtyEight’s new predictive. (He just ran away with the latest version of Tim Bontemps’ MVP Straw Poll at ESPN. Which rookies would go higher, and which ones would go lower? Surprises up and down the lotteryFor more information, visit FiveThirtyEight. The top two teams qualify for next season’s UEFA Champions League. nba-raptor. This rating combines player tracking data, play by play data, traditional box score data, and plus minus data to create a new all-in-one metric. 0. It is derived from two data points - the final score of each game and where each game was played CoverRats allows you to easily compare the Vegas lines with FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR and ELO projections. For more information, visit FiveThirtyEight. The big man currently leads all players in Estimated Plus-Minus as well as LEBRON (BBall-Index), RAPTOR (FiveThirtyEight), Box Plus-Minus (Basketball-Reference) and BP Box Plus-Minus in 2021-22. RAPTOR comparison for the best seven seasons (by WAR) of the careers of LeBron James and Michael Jordan Our player-based RAPTOR forecast doesn’t account for wins and losses; it is based entirely on our NBA player projections, which estimate each player’s future performance based on the trajectory. 6. Sportswriter, hockey and NASCAR podcaster, former FiveThirtyEight sports editor. To study this, we relied on FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR player ratings to tell us which players qualify as stars. Lakers 4-1. For more information, visit FiveThirtyEight. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. Which NBA players have led the league in all-time points scored? 16. “The general idea is that the FiveThirtyEight NBA model is based on player ratings, using a system called RAPTOR,” FiveThirtyEight Sports editor Sara Ziegler told Cronkite News. For all burn-in periods ≥ 7 days, the two simple team metrics outperform RAPTOR and Elo. Open-Box Sterling by Music Man Cutlass CT50HSS Electric Guitar. nba-tattoos. Be kind. CoverRats allows you to easily compare the Vegas lines with FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR and ELO projections. com 247Sports MaxPreps SportsLine ShopMobley started the season hot and continues to be awesome for a rookie, especially on the defensive end, where his unique combination of length, size and agility make him the seventh-ranked defender in the NBA (minimum 1,000 minutes), according to RAPTOR, FiveThirtyEight’s player-rating metric. $11. The similarity score is an index measuring how comparable one player is to another, scaled such that a score of zero is average similarity and 100 is. 193 vs. zatzman (Louis Zatzman, FiveThirtyEight contributor):. Toronto has slightly lower odds on. Likes. As part of a new series at HoopsHype, we are examining who should win the NBA MVP award based on what we can learn from advanced analytics. Trusting The Process Playoff Contenders Title Contenders Trusting The Process Playoff Contenders Title Contenders <40% to make playoffs ≥40% to make playoffs ≥10%. 8. The 1969-70 season was a great one for New York basketball. Elliott Morris to be the editorial director of data analytics for the news division, a post that also oversees FiveThirtyEight. 1 percent from deep in the NBA before going overseas. com, Wikipedia. The 2020-21 season marked his second-best season in defensive RAPTOR, FiveThirtyEight’s holistic performance stat. Investigating the NBA’s Obsession With The Cheesecake Factory. Statistical model by Nate Silver. 9. ’s Oct. But. The Bulls’ projected record has improved from 38-44 to. RAPTOR, FiveThirtyEight’s new NBA statistic, stands for Robust Algorithm (using) Player Tracking (and) On/Off Ratings Dataset with 29 projects 7 files 7 tables Tagged nba sports player. Jeff Hornacek, +10. According to Raptor FiveThirtyEight states that Fred Vanvleet is currently ranked 3rd for Wins Above Replacement. Nate Silver, t…RAPTOR, FiveThirtyEight’s new NBA statistic, stands for Robust Algorithm (using) Player Tracking (and) On/Off Ratings. 66%. In their simulations, Denver has a 66% chance of advancing to the next round (Phoenix obviously has the other 34%). Our player-based RAPTOR forecast doesn’t account for wins and losses; it is based entirely on our NBA player projections, which estimate each player’s future performance based on the trajectory. 2016-17 NBA Predictions Based on “CARM-Elo,” a mix of team Elo ratings and our CARMELO player projections. How this works: This forecast is based on 50,000 simulations of the season and updates after every game. Wins Above Replacement is a statistic that indicates the impact they have on their respective team. Excellent Condition. Three players have separated themselves…What is FiveThirtyEight? FiveThirtyEight, otherwise known as 538, is a political analyst blog and polling site, which aims to predict election results. Here Are The. 17. It is derived from two data points - the final score of each game and where each game was played CoverRats allows you to easily compare the Vegas lines with FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR and ELO projections. By Jay Boice. While it’s easy to think of 1997-1998 where Utah came the closest to winning the championship, RAPTOR believes the best Utah team was in 1996-1997, the. For more information, visit FiveThirtyEight. Download this data. 9. 0. We’re pretty excited about it. But Their Floor Might Be Too Low. election-forecasts- 2022. By Jay Boice. 1 million based on our current $109. The Best NBA Players, According To RAPTOR | FiveThirtyEight; 14. According to RAPTOR, FiveThirtyEight’s coincidentally named player metric, Barnes led all rookies in offensive impact as of Monday. 2 : Miami Heat 13. Header Definition : player : Player name : seconds_added_per_point : Weighted average of seconds added per point as loser and winner of matches, 1991-2015, from regression model controlling for tournament, surface, year and other factorsFor more information, visit FiveThirtyEight. Apr. He reached 36. Summary. csv contains Elo Ratings for every team in WNBA history on a game-by-game basis. 248: 4: RAPM (nbashotcharts. Who’s ahead in each governors race. 모르긴 몰라도 Plus/Minus 마진에서 카펠라와 콜린스가 트레 영보다는. For more information, visit FiveThirtyEight. Achiuwa ranked 11th among power forwards in D-RAPTOR — FiveThirtyEight’s catch-all defensive metric — behind some of the best defenders in the game: Draymond Green, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Al. . FiveThirtyEight's rankings are a lot higher on Burks and Quickley and lower on Obi and RJ than most on the sub appear to be. The metrics pulled included Daily Plus-Minus , Estimated Plus-Minus , LEBRON (BBall-Index), RAPTOR (FiveThirtyEight), Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus , Player Efficiency Rating (Basketball. 64%. 9m. FiveThirtyEight's RAPTOR model, much like the site's polling models,. In their second game of the 2019-20 season, the defending champion Toronto Raptors played the division rival Boston Celtics. It is derived from two data points - the final score of each game and where each game was played CoverRats allows you to easily compare the Vegas lines with FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR and ELO projections. 803. The slope is about right for. Payton, Thybulle and Caruso, in that order. Wins above replacement projections are based on a combination of regular-season and playoff performances. 7, 2022. The ratings change after every game based on the winner's pregame win probability, with more unexpected wins resulting in more points. 27. By Robert O'Connell. 15. Reads (168) Get app. . -4. 15, 2022. The blog is run by writer and statistician. He's averaging an NBA-high 2. The total RAPTOR rating measures an individual player’s point value to his team per 100. 538, originally rendered as FiveThirtyEight, is an American website that focuses on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging in the United States. Forecast from. PREDATOR includes a lot of fancy predictors, including height, weight, draft position, true shooting %, usage %, 3 point frequency, FT frequency, assist %, turnover %, rebound %, block %, steal %. Interactives. Gamblers and sportsbooks, no doubt, also used the. * FiveThirtyEight's Career-Arc Regression Model Estimator with Local Optimization (CARMELO) is a system that forecasts a player‘s future performance. Season. com. md","contentType":"file"},{"name":"historical. For more information, visit FiveThirtyEight. How this works: These forecasts are based on 100,000 simulations of the rest of the season. com) +8. 100% accurately with zero bias. 43: 1: The above listed advanced metrics each use different data points including box score and tracking data along with various adjustments to account for confounding factors like teammates to measure a. com. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. It is derived from two data points - the final score of each game and where each game was played CoverRats allows you to easily compare the Vegas lines with FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR and ELO projections. The team waived the veteran forward Monday, ending his Knicks tenure midway through his fifth season with the club (one in. LeBron. 2015-16 NBA Predictions. His 2021-22 D-RAPTOR is a major anomaly: After posting strong defensive statistics in limited minutes as a rookie, JokiÄÃ â ¡’s D-RAPTOR rating fell below 1. But RAPTOR, introduced in 2019 , offers original insight from their data scientists. Former FiveThirtyEight writer Clare Malone, now at The New Yorker, tweeted that FiveThirtyEight’s. PHOTO ILLUSTRATION BY FIVETHIRTYEIGHT / GETTY IMAGES. Be sure to follow us on Twitter and Facebook. FiveThirtyEight and ESPN are both owned by The. AD is L. ? - Page 3 - RealGM. 99. It is derived from two data points - the final score of each game and where each game was played CoverRats allows you to easily compare the Vegas lines with FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR and ELO projections. Jun 21, 2023. In their second game of the 2019-20 season, the defending champion Toronto Raptors played the division rival Boston Celtics. 0 — STAT SCHOOL! We talk a lot about statistics on the show, and we think it’s worthwhile every so often to offer. It is derived from two data points - the final score of each game and where each game was played CoverRats allows you to easily compare the Vegas lines with FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR and ELO projections. RAPTOR, FiveThirtyEight’s new NBA statistic, stands for Robust Algorithm (using) Player Tracking (and) On/Off Ratings. D. Analytical but narrative -- blending the past and future of sportswriting. Led by Willis Reed, Walt Frazier and Dave DeBusschere, the Knicks were 23-1 through Nov. EXCLUSIVE: ABC News is hiring The Economist’s G. 35. Top Politics Stories Today. The tendency for FiveThirtyEight to overweight home court advantage is clear here, as the y-intercept is negative for both algorithms. 112. With an overall RAPTOR of -2. RAPTOR = FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR model, which uses play-by-play and player-tracking data to calculate each player’s individual plus-minus measurements and wins above replacement. Boston had struggled offensively in its season opener, scoring only 91. These "modern" data files contain the box score and. Preseason predicted standings for the NBA’s 2022-23 Western Conference, according to FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR-based forecast Teams finishing in seventh. 1,416. FiveThirtyEight's forecasts and RAPTOR were ubiquitous among online NBA conversations over the last few years, for better or for worse. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. Projects, dashboards, forecasts and more. +1. 6. 117. An object of class tbl_df (inherits from tbl, data. For more information, visit FiveThirtyEight. The Republican Path To A House Majority Goes Through The Suburbs. 9. For the latest Rudy Gobert. md","path":"nba-raptor/README. RAPTOR = FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR model, which uses play-by-play and player-tracking data to calculate each player’s individual plus-minus measurements and wins above replacement. I did go through the top 100 in RAPTOR WAR from last year, plus an article listing 24 "rising stars" (to cover those projected to break out), so I should've gotten at least most of them. FiveThirtyEight’s men’s and women’s NCAA Tournament forecasting models calculate the chance of each team reaching each round. Comment. raptor_by_player. RAPTOR = FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR model, which uses play-by-play and player-tracking data to calculate each player’s individual plus-minus measurements and. RAPTOR (fivethirtyeight. modern_RAPTOR_by_player. Trusting The Process Playoff Contenders Title Contenders Trusting The Process Playoff Contenders Title Contenders <40% to make playoffs ≥40% to make playoffs ≥10%. Follow. Nine Wizards qualify for the RAPTOR wins above replacement leaderboard. 5 points, 10. Filter or search to find players. * FiveThirtyEight's Career-Arc Regression Model Estimator with Local Optimization (CARMELO) is a system that forecasts a player‘s future performance. html; xml; google-sheets; web-scraping; Share. info. Quentin Grimes and Derrick Rose have been the best players on the team on a per minute basis, which most of the sub would agree with. It is derived from two data points - the final score of each game and where each game was played CoverRats allows you to easily compare the Vegas lines with FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR and ELO projections. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. Download this data. $99. Wins above replacement projections are based on a combination of regular-season and playoff performances. Things were a little less smooth after that: New York went 37-21 to close out the regular season and was taken to seven. 9. RAPTOR – FiveThirtyEightForecast from. Dots closer to the line represent tighter races, and wider bars mean more uncertainty about the outcome. 2022 FiveThirtyEight Election Forecast. What To Watch For In The 2020-21 NBA Season By Neil Paine. But that changes this year. 2. RAPTOR is dead. “The other thing that people told him was that he wasn’t really a good defensive player,” Jackson said. When you scroll down and see the graph of all qualified players in the NBA, you can probably guess who is the one right at the top, no where near anyone else. Utah has a slightly better projected point differential, while Phoenix. For more information, visit FiveThirtyEight. All posts tagged “RAPTOR” Jan. Gamblers and sportsbooks, no doubt, also used the. The similarity score is an index measuring how comparable one player is to another, scaled such that a score of zero is average similarity and 100 is the. All. And it’s no shock to see Lakers superstar Anthony Davis in RAPTOR’s top 10. Daniel Levitt is a former sports intern with FiveThirtyEight. It is derived from two data points - the final score of each game and where each game was played CoverRats allows you to easily compare the Vegas lines with FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR and ELO projections. RAPTOR’s biggest surprises — and disappointments Biggest positive and negative differences between a player’s current 2019-20 total RAPTOR rating and his preseason projected rating Most. For more information, visit FiveThirtyEight. The fivethirtyeight package was featured in The fivethirtyeight R Package: “Tame Data” Principles for Introductory Statistics and Data Science Courses by Kim, Ismay, and Chunn (2018) published in Volume 11, Issue 1 of the journal “Technology Innovations in. Filed under NBA. There's far more to this year's draft than just Victor Wembanyama. — Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) April 25, 2023. Contribute to aarontavel/wicked-problems development by creating an account on GitHub. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. Despite his scoring output and efficiency, FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR metric rates Thompson as the 29th-most-effective player in the playoffs among the 30 who have played at least 400 minutes. 8 points above average on defense, ranking in the 65th percentile. For more information, visit FiveThirtyEight. Our RAPTOR-based forecast gives Chicago a 97 percent chance of advancing to the postseason, up from just 37 percent in the preseason model. Winners and losers. He is the author of “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail — But Some Don’t. To that end, our RAPTOR-based prediction model now gives the Kings a 49 percent chance of making the playoffs. Donovan Mitchell is a Top-5 player in the league so far based on WAR. “The rotation players for. FiveThirtyEight puts out a model annually that predicts how well players will perform in RAPTOR the following year called PREDATOR. fivethirtyeightdata is an add-on R data package to the fivethirtyeight package that contains user-contributed vignettes/ and 19 datasets that could not be included in fivethirtyeight due to CRAN package size restrictions: The Save Ruined Relief Pitching. 19, 2023. frame) with 32055 rows and 24 columns. 在数据世界里，或许最家喻户晓的名字就是内特•西尔弗(Nate Silver)，他的FiveThirtyEigh有一个被广泛引用的全能篮球指标:RAPTOR。 FiveThirtyEight之前的篮球指标(Elo和cam -Elo)依赖于BPM和RPM进行计算。但2019年推出的RAPTOR提供了数据科学家. こんにちは 以前、NBAでのディフェンス指標についてまとめられた記事を紹介しました。 そして少し時間が空き、この記事を再読してみたのですが、やはり面白い内容だったので、内容をまとめてみようかと思います。 (記事の内容の再構成や補足の情報追加などをしています) ディフェンス指標. election-forecasts- 2022. For the second consecutive season, the Brooklyn Nets made a league-shaking deal at the NBA trade deadline. FiveThirtyEight 47 W. RAPTOR, of course, is the R obust A lgorithm (using) P layer T racking (and) O n/Off R atings — FiveThirtyEight’s way of measuring each NBA player’s contribution to his team’s offensive and. Rookie Collin Sexton has become more efficient in his shot selection since the All-Star break. Boston had struggled offensively in its season opener, scoring only 91. Design and development by Allison McCann, Jay Boice and Aaron Bycoffe. 803. Used Electro-Harmonix EHXTortion JFET Overdrive Effect Pedal. What is Raptor FiveThirtyEight? RAPTOR is an advanced metric introduced by FiveThirtyEight in 2019, and functions as a smart plus-minus statistic, which takes into account how a player’s team performs when he is both on and off the court. Derrick White Doesn’t Produce Like NBA Superstars. He currently leads the NBA in blocks per 36 minutes and points created per 100 possessions, and he’s the Knicks’ best player by a comfortable margin in RAPTOR, FiveThirtyEight’s new measure. It is derived from two data points - the final score of each game and where each game was played CoverRats allows you to easily compare the Vegas lines with FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR and ELO projections. 's overwhelming leader in postseason wins above replacement (the cumulative version of FiveThirtyEight's RAPTOR, an adjusted plus-minus metric that incorporates box-score stats, play-by. We can pencil in 11 spots accounted for from players under contract (barring trade), and two more between their draft picks and any undrafted free agents. How could player moves reshuffle the NBA’s tiers? Projected records and playoff odds, based on RAPTOR player ratings and expected minutes, will update when a roster is adjusted. This dataset contains data behind the story Introducing RAPTOR, Our New Metric For The Modern NBA and the interactive The Best NBA Players This Season, According To RAPTOR. Through Sunday’s games, O’Neale ranked 16th 1 in the league in FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR WAR metric, posting career highs on both the offensive and defensive side to this point. Data and code behind the articles and graphics at FiveThirtyEight - GitHub - fivethirtyeight/data: Data and code behind the articles and graphics at FiveThirtyEight. Notes. 1,021. Posted by u/Robotsaur - 6 votes and 6 commentsWe would like to show you a description here but the site won’t allow us. Makes total sense. It’s not a perfect indication on its own, but there’s no evidence of a. RAPTOR, FiveThirtyEight’s player-rating system, has him as the 12th-best player in the NBA this season with 450 or more minutes played and sixth in producing wins (WAR) behind Steph Curry, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Nikola Jokić, John Collins (OK, that’s interesting) and Fred VanVleet (even more interesting). We'll recommend top publications based on the topics you select. data. Highest-ranked Celtic by a fairly wide margin and he and Alex Caruso are the only ones in the top-20 who have never been All-Stars. 2026. RAPTOR is dead. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. 99. This would require renouncing or losing multiple free agents. FiveThirtyEight's Premier League predictions. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. Nine Wizards qualify for the RAPTOR wins above replacement leaderboard. 36. In the latter case, Curry outplaying projections by 7. All posts tagged “RAPTOR” May 12, 2021. 0 : Los Angeles Lakers +4. Follow reddiquette and reddit's content policy. Some teams have existed less than 50 years. FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR stat loves him, as does a simple contrast of the Raptors’ net rating with him on the floor (6. Where Republicans Who Deny The 2020 Election Results Are On The Ballot — And Where They Could Win. Search. Our player-based RAPTOR forecast doesn’t account for wins and losses; it is based entirely on our NBA player projections, which estimate each player’s future performance based on the trajectory of similar NBA players. That rival would be the. “And he found a way not only to become a great defensive player, but. (He didn’t play enough minutes to qualify for the RAPTOR leaderboard, but ended up pretty close to neutral, rather than a clear negative In the latter case, Curry outplaying projections by 7. Nov. Professional sports writers and awards voters relied on RAPTOR to analyze performance and make decisions that cost players tens of millions of dollars. Almost exactly a year after shipping James Harden to the. 9m. The Model. Hot Takedown is bringing back one of its favorite segments from Hot Takedown 1. But the advanced stats, as they have been wont to do with JokiÄÐ â ¡, paint a rosier picture: According to FiveThirtyEight’s NBA player ratings, JokiÄÐ â ¡ is second in offensive RAPTOR. Season. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. For more information, visit FiveThirtyEight. Used Condition. 5. he's 7th in the league in RAPTOR but tied for 2nd in RAPTOR WAR; he's 8th in LEBRON but tied for 3rd in LEBRON Wins Added; and he's 24th in BPM but 15th in VORP. Check out our latest NBA predictions . LeBron is currently averaging 30. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. 538 uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, economics, and American society. 0. The total RAPTOR rating measures an individual player’s point value to his team per 100 possessions.